Positioning Weekly — 25 August 2026

Each week we rank speculative net positioning — Managed Money in commodities, Leveraged Funds in financials — against its own trailing three years. A high percentile means the bullish bet is crowded; a low one, the bearish bet. Positioning is a crowding and context gauge, not a timing signal.

InstrumentSpec netPctileState1w change
Gold+144,74765neutral+3,099
Silver+14,07335neutral+2,378
Copper+76,27199crowded long-2,377
WTI Crude+84,02034neutral-3,459
Natural Gas-71,67336neutral+28,407
Euro FX-38,3599crowded short+19,357
Japanese Yen-77,04219leaning short-9,071
E-mini S&P 500-315,20463neutral-33,802
E-mini Nasdaq 100-41,23238neutral+20,539
10Y Treasury Note-2,134,33921leaning short+94,674
Bitcoin-8,08985leaning long-650
Ether-8,38534neutral-3,990
Solana-4,33345neutral-1,189
XRP-2,31675leaning long-1,169

Spec net = speculative long minus short contracts. Pctile = rank of that net within its trailing 3 years (0 = most short, 100 = most long). Green states = positioned long, red = positioned short; darker = more crowded. New to positioning data? How to read this report.

At an extreme

  • Copper — Managed Money are net long 76,271 contracts, 99th percentile of the last 3 years (crowded long). Producer/Merchant are at the opposite extreme — classic crowding setup.
  • Euro FX — Leveraged Funds are net short 38,359 contracts, 9th percentile of the last 3 years (crowded short).

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Positioning data describes what large traders held as of the report date, published with a lag. It is a crowding and context gauge, not a trade recommendation. Nothing here is investment advice. Source: CFTC (public domain).

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